kimbayne.com: Published Works:
M-CommerceTimes
Do Customers Need Real-Time Wireless?
The widespread use of wireless Internet access devices will
balloon in the next three years as unit shipments reach double
and triple digit growth, anticipates digital communications
research firm Cahners In-Stat Group. Plus, real-time wireless
Web surfing could become the norm ultimately, a prediction
intimidating companies who built shortsighted business plans
on pure "pull-content" service models. Could such wireless
companies become obsolete once the average PDA user has a
modem? Many wireless services for palm top devices allow users to
download selected Web content for viewing off-line -- a
concept of wireless pull, or Web clipping then data
synchronization, rather than real-time wireless access. For
example, a PDA sans modem can download the day's news
headlines from the Web when synchronized with a desktop
computer. Meanwhile, recent market developments, such as the
proliferation of low-cost PDA modems and improvements in
mini-browser technology, may have changed the landscape for
pure pull-content players. Is Sync Outmoded? "I don't think obsolescence comes when users get modems. It
comes when devices get inherently capable," comments Dave
Rensin, Chief Strategy Officer for OmniSky Corporation, a
provider of wireless e-mail and Internet services for mobile
device users. When native browsing improves, users might
embrace wireless surfing more often. But Mike Aufricht, general manager for mobile
infrastructure provider AvantGo, says many users don't want to
pay for real-time wireless access. Users who rely on
infrequently changed data shouldn't need a real-time
connection anyway. They might welcome the solitude of perusing
selected content minus the wireless service lags or
interruptions. Most news sources update about twice daily,
which means there's no real benefit to wireless news surfing
other than reading breaking stories. There are also times when a user needs strictly Web
clipping capabilities, for example when preparing for an
airline trip, which doesn't allow wireless device usage in
flight, or when in buildings where it's impossible to get a
wireless connection. "The ultimate experience is go wireless when you want to,"
says AvantGo's Aufricht. Fortunately, no matter what type of
access a wireless user needs or wants, AvantGo is poised to
reach him or her. With a service model built around both
synchronization and real-time user needs, AvantGo recognizes
the advantage to enabling wireless users to make custom
choices. Defining the Current Market The real question for wireless service providers might be
"for whom is wireless access a necessity?" "We don't think the consumer market (for wireless data) is
here right now," observes Aaron Dobrinsky, CEO of GoAmerica, a
wireless data and Internet services provider. Currently,
wireless connectivity is too expensive for the average user
who can more easily pick up a telephone to make airline
reservations than log on to the Web with a wireless PDA.
GoAmerica focuses on mobile professionals, otherwise known as
enterprise customers, providing access to corporate data --
sales force automation, Intranet, email -- just about anything
traveling or field personnel need while away the home office.
"There's still a huge gap between the kinds of information
that natively renders well for PDAs and the kind of
information you want," says OmniSky's Rensin. Email is a
number one reason anyone buys a wireless device and service,
he adds. The majority of people purchasing a wireless service
for a PDA -- individuals in corporations -- are doing it using
someone else's money. The current market for wireless data is corporate or
business users, not screaming mobs of enthusiastic consumers.
That realization could be a wake-up call for everybody, says
Rensin, adding OmniSky is "thankful we have money to make the
adjustments we need."
Article COPYRIGHT 2001 M-CommerceTimes
by Kim M. Bayne
M-CommerceTimes
April 20, 2001
Copyright © 1994-present, Kim M. Bayne, wolfBayne Communications, P.O. Box 30208, Tucson, AZ 85751-0208 USA. All rights reserved. All other copyrights are the property of their respective holders. The contents of this document and any other document residing on this site may NOT be published, broadcast, copied, rewritten, transmitted, translated or otherwise distributed, in whole or in part, in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, for any purpose, without the prior written authority of the copyright holder. This Web site is protected by U.S. Federal and International Copyright Law.